Is Global Warming Influencing El Niño

We know that global climate change affects large-scale climate events, like monsoons and tropical cyclones, so should the same be true for the frequency and strength of El Nià ±o events? Why Would El Nio Events Be Tied to Global Warming? First, the El Nià ±o Southern Oscillation (ENSO) can be summed up as a very large volume of unusually warm water that builds up in the Pacific Ocean off the coast of South America. The heat contained in that water is released in the atmosphere, affecting weather over a large portion of the globe. El Nià ±o conditions appear following complex interactions between tropical air instability, atmospheric pressure, dominant wind pattern shifts, ocean surface currents, and deep water mass movements. Each of these processes can interact with climate change, making predictions about the characteristics of future El Nià ±o events very difficult to do. However, we know that climate change significantly affects both atmospheric and ocean conditions, so changes should be expected. A Recent Increase in the Frequency of El Nio Events Since the beginning of the 20th century, the frequency of El Nià ±o events appears to have increased, with a similar trend for the events’ intensity. However, wide year-to-year variations lower confidence in the observed trend. Nonetheless, three recent events, 1982-83, 1997-98, and 2015-16 were the strongest on record. Too Complex a Phenomenon to Forecast? Over the last two decades, studies have identified mechanisms by which global warming could affect many of the El Nià ±o drivers mentioned above. However, in 2010 a careful analysis was published, where the authors concluded that the system was too complex to draw clear conclusions. In their words: â€Å"the physical feedbacks that control the characteristics of ENSO are likely to be affected by [climate change] but with a delicate balance between amplifying and damping processes meaning that it is not clear at this stage whether ENSO variability will go up or down or be unchanged†¦Ã¢â‚¬  In other words, feedback loops in climate systems make predictions difficult to make. What Does the Latest Science Say? In 2014, a study published in the Journal of Climate found a clearer way to anticipate differences in El Nino events under climate change: instead of the events themselves, they looked at how they interact with other large scale patterns occurring over North America, in a phenomenon called teleconnection. Their results hint at an eastward shift in above-average precipitation during El Nià ±o years over the western half of North America. Other teleconnection-mediated shifts are expected in Central America and northern Columbia (becoming drier) and in Southwest Colombia and Ecuador (getting wetter). Another important study published in 2014 used more refined climate models to revisit the issue of whether global warming would change the frequency of strong El Nià ±o events. Their findings were clear: intense El Nià ±os (like the 1996-97 and 2015-2016 ones) will double in frequency over the course of the next 100 years, occurring on average once every ten years. This finding is sobering, given the large impacts these events have on lives and infrastructure thanks to droughts, floods, and heat waves. Sources Cai et al. 2014. Frequency of Extreme El Nià ±os to Double in the 21st Century. Nature Climate Change 4:111-116. Collins et al. 2010. The Impact of Gobal Warming on the Tropical Pacific Ocean and El Nià ±o. Nature GeoScience 3:391-397. Steinhoff et al. 2015. Projected Impact of Twenty-First Century ENSO Changes on Rainfall over Central America and Northwest South America. Climate Dynamics 44:1329-1349. Zhen-Qiang et al. 2014. Global Warming–Induced Changes in El Nià ±o Teleconnections over the North Pacific and North America. Journal of Climate 27:9050-9064.

Summary Of The Journal Of Denton Lloyd - 887 Words

The Journal of Denton Lloyd Walking to New York From Boston was when I thought that we would never win the battle against the British. I couldn’t believe that I was going to go to war with the British. The British had so much more experience than we did, There were some people who didn’t even have one bit of experience with weapons. Surely, I was nervous of going to battle. The whole time getting ready I thought about how much I’d miss my wife and are three children Lilia, beathanny, and Lucas. I thought to myself one day I won’t have to write to them, I can see them and tell them stories about the war. Right now all I need to think about is battling the British and surviving at the same time. When going to battle being intrepid we were†¦show more content†¦When traveling we were growing hungry over the lack of food we had, some people even starved for days. As winter came the weather became colder and colder. We were all freezing, some soldiers even went back home. When we reached Pennsylvania we only had about a few thousand men. We were all cold, our clothes were ripped and some had barely any clothing on them. Washington reported the remaining of the troops. Washington had also reported for more troops Otherwise, Washington said â€Å"I think the game will be pretty well up.† End of 1776 the British thought they have won the war. Howe the General of the British offered a peace treaty signing a promise saying â€Å"remain peaceful obedience† to the king. Thousands took his offer. Washington did not believe that amity was possible between the American colonist and British. Washington knew he had to do something, he gathered all of us and read to us from Thomas Paine ‘The Crisis’. â€Å"These are the times that try mens souls. The summer soldier and the sunshine patriot will, in this crisis, shrink from the service of their country; but he that stands it NOW, deserves the love and thanks of man and woman.† On December 25, 1776, we traveled across the Delaware river along the New Jersey shore. As we walked to reach Trenton, we were all shivering because the snow on the ground was going through our cut and ripped shoes. When we arrived, Hessian and his troops were camping on Christmas day, they were all sleeping and it was theShow MoreRelatedFamily Structure in the Nineteenth Century Essay7830 Words   |  32 Pagesopportunities, or positive role models. This movement eventually led to the formation of an urban underclass (or ghetto poor) in U.S. cities, especially in the Northeast and the Midwest. In addition to the importance of class segregation, Massey and Denton (1993) stressed the importance residential segregation played in the formation of the primarily black urban underclass. Thus what has emerged is a large group of people living in the central city with education levels that do not match the jobsRead MoreStephen P. Robbins Timothy A. Judge (2011) Organizational Behaviour 15th Edition New Jersey: Prentice Hall393164 Words   |  1573 PagesNetworked Organizations 20 †¢ Helping Employees Balance Work–Life Conflicts 21 †¢ Creating a Positive Work Environment 22 †¢ Improving Ethical Behavior 22 Coming Attractions: Developing an OB Model 23 An Overview 23 †¢ Inputs 24 †¢ Processes 25 †¢ Outcomes 25 Summary and Implications for Managers 30 S A L Self-Assessment Library How Much Do I Know About Organizational Behavior? 4 Myth or Science? â€Å"Most Acts of Workplace Bullying Are Men Attacking Women† 12 An Ethical Choice Can You Learn from FailureRead MoreMarketing Mistakes and Successes175322 Words   |  702 Pageschef took pride in providing better meals than found in area restaurants. Given the international mix of employees, the menu was varied to cater to all tastes: Southwestern, classic Italian, French, African, Asian, Indian, etc. The Wall Street Journal sent a reporter out to investigate. â€Å"Where else but the Plex can you zip around on a bicycle and choose from multicultural comfort food, American regional food, small plates, entrees made with five ingredients or less, and dishes based on raw materials

The Importance of Sustainability in a Company - 1914 Words

1. Discuss in what way an improved sustainability performance can benefit a company. Even with the current trend pushed by consumers’ awareness related to increasing sustainability throughout companies’ processes and activities, at the end, they always rely on profit to pay its employees, suppliers and shareholders. If we think with a strictly economic point of view, the first impression about sustainability is not a positive one. A simple thought might consider all the money spent with ISO certifications, GRI reports, cleaner production, and health and safety as an obstacle towards the maximization of profits or, at best, as necessary money used to fulfill all the legal requirements. By this old way of thinking, neither employees nor shareholders would like to see money being used to support some educational or social initiative instead of being used to pay profit sharing or dividends. For very long time, this dominant thought, together with the lack of awareness about the environmental and social impacts caused by companies, led to decades of a debate â€Å"corporations against society and environment†. Even though this debate persists nowadays influenced by left wing thinkers, big part of society and the executives started to see this relation as a synergy instead of as a competition. Pushed by consumers and scientific discoveries, some leading companies started this shift and they realize that what was supposed to be a threat is, in fact, a sea of opportunities that wouldShow MoreRelatedSustainability From A Strategic Business Perspective Essay1190 Words   |  5 PagesSustainability from a strategic business perspective is the potential for the long-term well-being of the natural environment, including all biological entities, as mutually beneficial interactions among nature and individuals, organizations, and business strategies. 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Understanding Eclipses Essay - 516 Words

Understanding Eclipses A scientific event which captures my interest and attention is an eclipse. In astronomy, an eclipse is a complete or partial obscuring of a celestial body by another. An eclipse occurs when three celestial objects become aligned. There are two distinctly different types of eclipse phenomena known to astronomers. In the first, the eclipsing body comes between an observer and the eclipsed object while the other celestial object appears to the observer totally or partially covered by the eclipsing object. An example of this is when eclipses of the Sun occur(This is known as a solar eclipse). A solar eclipse occurs when the Moon, revolving in its orbit around the Earth, moves across the disk of the Sun so†¦show more content†¦In rare instances, more may occur, as in 1935, when there were five solar eclipses. 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Shakespeare uses various techniques to create different moods and atmospheres and to reveal the characters Essay Example For Students

Shakespeare uses various techniques to create different moods and atmospheres and to reveal the characters Essay Shakespeare uses various techniques to create different moods and atmospheres and to reveal the characters. He uses comparisons in characters, the use of language and the use of tension. It is one of the most important scenes as it is where Romeo and Juliet first meet and where we learn the most about main characters. Being an important scene, Shakespeare has made it very tense and entertaining. The scene includes a lot of main key characters and we learn of the differences between the two families. The audience are already looking forward to this scene, as we want to find out about and see Rosaline! We are expecting fun as it is a party and want to know what happens with Juliet and Paris; will she marry marry him when she is of an older and more mature age? Before this scene we found information about various main characters. The audience found out that Romeo was in love with Rosaline at the very beginning and he was love sick and distraught with not seeing her. Romeo had had a dream the night before about a bad thing happening at the Capulets party. Being Romeo he believed his own thoughts and was nervous about going. We also found out that Juliet, only 13 years of age, was the only daughter of the Capulets. She has her own nurse to look after her as she is not very mature and relies on other people. Juliet is very distant from the rest of her family and does not get on with them the most majority of the time; she is a lonely child. Capulet wanted Juliet to marry Paris, a rich older man but only when Juliet was older. Capulet is a strong character, he tries to keep the peace between his family and the Montagues, but if the Montagues start a fight first then he will want to carry it on, as he doesnt want to be seen as the loser. Finally Tybalt, he is the nephew to Lady Capulet and despises the Montagues and tries his hardest to start fights with them and will never hear a bad word spoken about him. Immediately before this scene, the atmosphere is very gloomy as Romeo had a dream about a bad thing happening at Capulets party, this also gets us interested, as we want to find out if he is right and what will happen. At the opening of scene 5 Capulets servants prepare for his party. The atmosphere is very busy, rushed and fast moving. All of the servants are rushing around preparing for the party. They all talk to each other in short sentences; You are lookd for, and calld for, askd forà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¦ This key line shows the short, snappy words the servants used. For is repeatedly used as they are rushed and just use it as a joining  word to get their sentence across before rushing off to prepare more things for the party once more. The apostrophes are repeated in all three words as it shows they are rushed even in their speech; they have to shorten words to say what they wanted quicker; they cant finish sentences and even words! They do not have the time to stand and chat especially under the watchful eye of Capulet; they have too much to do for everything to be ready for when the party begins. Capulet then welcomes guests into the party and tries to get them to dance. The atmosphere is very humorous, as people are all in fancy dress; it is very vibrant, lively and very cheerful as people are having fun. .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57 , .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57 .postImageUrl , .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57 .centered-text-area { min-height: 80px; position: relative; } .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57 , .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57:hover , .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57:visited , .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57:active { border:0!important; } .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57 .clearfix:after { content: ""; display: table; clear: both; } .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57 { display: block; transition: background-color 250ms; webkit-transition: background-color 250ms; width: 100%; opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; background-color: #95A5A6; } .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57:active , .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57:hover { opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; background-color: #2C3E50; } .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57 .centered-text-area { width: 100%; position: relative ; } .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57 .ctaText { border-bottom: 0 solid #fff; color: #2980B9; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; margin: 0; padding: 0; text-decoration: underline; } .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57 .postTitle { color: #FFFFFF; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 600; margin: 0; padding: 0; width: 100%; } .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57 .ctaButton { background-color: #7F8C8D!important; color: #2980B9; border: none; border-radius: 3px; box-shadow: none; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 26px; moz-border-radius: 3px; text-align: center; text-decoration: none; text-shadow: none; width: 80px; min-height: 80px; background: url(https://artscolumbia.org/wp-content/plugins/intelly-related-posts/assets/images/simple-arrow.png)no-repeat; position: absolute; right: 0; top: 0; } .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57:hover .ctaButton { background-color: #34495E!important; } .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57 .centered-text { display: table; height: 80px; padding-left : 18px; top: 0; } .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57 .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57-content { display: table-cell; margin: 0; padding: 0; padding-right: 108px; position: relative; vertical-align: middle; width: 100%; } .ub0cf1d83125e7caffe8b562f9133ac57:after { content: ""; display: block; clear: both; } READ: How does Shakespeare make Act 3 Scene 5 of 'Romeo and Juliet' especially dramatic? EssayWelcome Gentlemen, Ladies that have their toes unplagued with cornsà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¦ Capulet repeats the word Welcome, this tells us that he is very pleased that everyone has come and he may have had too much to drink and forgets that he has already said it! Capulet is eager to get the party off to a flying start and he teases all the ladies by telling they are welcome to attend his party if they have nice feet! Capulet adds a jolly atmosphere to the party. Once the party had got going, Romeo arrived and glimpses Juliet for the first time; the atmosphere was very romantic and slow. What Ladys that which doth enrich the handà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¦ Romeo compares Juliet to jewels, à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¦As a rich jewel in an Ethiops ear-à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¦which shows he thinks very highly of her, he uses What Ladys that which doth enrich the handà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¦in describing her as special. He immediately falls in love with her and we see a different side to Romeo, his mood and feelings go from one extreme to the other, as he was totally in love with Rosaline but with one sight of Juliet he is head over heals in love with her, which is very typical of Romeo. The effect on the audience is that we are privileged to share such an intimate moment between Romeo and Juliet. After Romeo and Juliet met, Tybalt overhears Romeo talking about Juliet and was angry that a Montague had come to the Capulets own party. An argument started between him and Capulet, Tybalt wanted to fight Romeo outside and told one of the servants to go and get his sword but Capulet stopped him and didnt want any fight at his party and told him to leave it. The atmosphere was very tense and violent; Tybalt was very aggressive towards Capulet and anyone who helped try and stop him from fighting. à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¦Fetch me my rapier, boyà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¦ This suggests he has no respect for his servants and people around him; he speaks as he is higher up than everyone else and uses the word boy to show his power over them. Tybalt  is impulsively violent; he acts first and thinks later, as he tries his hardest to start fights between him and the Montagues. It tells us he really wanted to fight Romeo. Capulet scolds Tybalt and he leaves the party sowing revenge. Tybalt was very angry that Romeo turned up, He shall be enduredà ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¦ Capulet is asserting his authority, as he wouldnt let him do anything about it. Capulet is being very naÃÆ' ¯ve, as he thinks he has solved the problem. The atmosphere went from being very tense and un-settled to the audience finally having a breath of relief as the tense atmosphere is over. After Tybalt had left, Romeo and Juliet meet for the first time and end up kissing. The atmosphere is very romantic, as if it is slow motion because the camera focuses and continually flicks between Romeo and Juliet. If I profane with my unworthiest hand This holy shrine,à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¦ Romeo is very eager to impress, he is pleased that he had got to be with Juliet after wanting to all night. Juliet responds in the same way, she is very flattered and equally eager to impress. Whilst Romeo and Juliet were kissing Juliets nurse interrupted them, the atmosphere is very rushed and happens very rapidly. Unfortunately, Romeo finds out that Juliet is a Capulet and is disappointed, as he knows he will never be able to be with her with people knowing because of their family differences, à ¢Ã¢â€š ¬Ã‚ ¦My life is my foes debt. Romeo does not understand how Juliet could be a Capulet, he was very upset at first, and he was in the hands of his enemy. .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc , .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc .postImageUrl , .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc .centered-text-area { min-height: 80px; position: relative; } .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc , .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc:hover , .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc:visited , .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc:active { border:0!important; } .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc .clearfix:after { content: ""; display: table; clear: both; } .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc { display: block; transition: background-color 250ms; webkit-transition: background-color 250ms; width: 100%; opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; background-color: #95A5A6; } .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc:active , .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc:hover { opacity: 1; transition: opacity 250ms; webkit-transition: opacity 250ms; background-color: #2C3E50; } .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc .centered-text-area { width: 100%; position: relative ; } .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc .ctaText { border-bottom: 0 solid #fff; color: #2980B9; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; margin: 0; padding: 0; text-decoration: underline; } .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc .postTitle { color: #FFFFFF; font-size: 16px; font-weight: 600; margin: 0; padding: 0; width: 100%; } .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc .ctaButton { background-color: #7F8C8D!important; color: #2980B9; border: none; border-radius: 3px; box-shadow: none; font-size: 14px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 26px; moz-border-radius: 3px; text-align: center; text-decoration: none; text-shadow: none; width: 80px; min-height: 80px; background: url(https://artscolumbia.org/wp-content/plugins/intelly-related-posts/assets/images/simple-arrow.png)no-repeat; position: absolute; right: 0; top: 0; } .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc:hover .ctaButton { background-color: #34495E!important; } .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc .centered-text { display: table; height: 80px; padding-left : 18px; top: 0; } .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc-content { display: table-cell; margin: 0; padding: 0; padding-right: 108px; position: relative; vertical-align: middle; width: 100%; } .u364b5c710396687f7e3dbffab4697dbc:after { content: ""; display: block; clear: both; } READ: John Donne and Shakespeare EssayThe audience get anxious because of Romeo finding out she is his foe and the atmosphere gets very apprehensive. The audience feel depressed that Romeo and Juliet cannot be together with their family despising each other even though they know there could be love between them. Finally after Romeo finds out Juliet is a Capulet; vice versa for Juliet; she finds out Romeo is a Montague. The atmosphere is very playful and menacing, as Romeo and Juliet are still hopeful for being with one another from the bad news, as they know they want to be together and do not care about the consequences of being together. They were both very shocked and heartbroken about being enemies but they are not as naÃÆ' ¯ve as their family and can see through differences and see love comparisons. Juliet refers to graves, which is a sign of bad things about to happen; we could interoperate as death! My grave is like to be my wedding bed. Juliet may be thinking ahead, if she married Romeo her family would disown her and she may as well be dead to them. She also may be thinking if she married Paris, she would be very unhappy. She doesnt want to marry him but she  wants to make Capulet and her family happy. She knows she would have a bad life and would think of it as her deathbed! In Act 1 scene 5, he brings across the characteristics and their personalities and uses a lot of tension. Tybalt for example, when the atmosphere got tense because of Romeo being at the party, Tybalt lost his cool and started getting angry, which gives the audience his real personality. Shakespeare creates different moods and reveals different characters because of Act 1 scene 5 is such an important scene. We know about some of the characters personalities but he shows us more, getting the audience looking forward to the scene from the tense build-up from the scene before. He uses the two families to bring across the differences and personalities; this is how he creates different moods; mostly being tense. He reveals different aspects of the main characters.

H.G. Wells free essay sample

This essay tells the story of Wells life and works and how they relate to the authors life. This paper looks at the life of famed novelist H.G. Wells. The author describes his childhood, education, marriages, and most importantly, Wells science fiction works, such as The Time Machine, and The Island of Dr. Moreau. The paper also discusses Wells as a staunch socialist and how he conveyed his political beliefs in his writing. From the paper: Herbert George Wells was born at Bromley, Kent, on September 21, 1866, and died in 1946. H.G. Wells? family was not wealthy. His father owned an old China shop and his mother was a lady?s maid. Both parents made very little money. George Wells had little education and had been hired at a large drapery emporium. At the emporium he had the position of a draper?s apprentice. Here he had to wait on customers, show samples of merchandise, stock, and also account of all money taken in. We will write a custom essay sample on H.G. Wells or any similar topic specifically for you Do Not WasteYour Time HIRE WRITER Only 13.90 / page